Updated bracket went like this at the bottom: Minnesota, Michigan, Penn State, Creighton, Florida, Maryland, and San Diego State IN and South Carolina, Arizona, Virginia Tech, New Mexico, Southern Cal, UNLV, Auburn, and Providence OUT. There were others on the board, but those are the ones I labored over.
Big 1-seed shake-ups, too. Today, it's North Carolina, Michigan State, Pitt, and Louisville.
Kentucky just gave up the ghost against LSU (I LOCKed the Tigers). A .500 record in the weak SEC, an RPI in the 70s, 4-8 in last 12, and generally not looking very good is not a profile of hope. If they miss (and it seems nearly certain), it will end a streak of 17 straight NCAAs (#3 longest currently). Oddly enough, the #1 streak is in jeopardy at Arizona, too. #2 Kansas' streak is safe.
VA Tech is definitely in the conversation, but they missed a golden opportunity to get UNC without Lawson.
Minnesota is Bubble, but seems to be on the good side right now. The Wisconsin/Ohio State has to be in good shape and even the loser is likely going.
Multi-Bid Conference Breakdown
Big Ten (8): Michigan State, Illinois, Purdue, Ohio State, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Michigan, Penn State
Big East (7): UConn, Pitt, Louisville, Villanova, Marquette, Syracuse, West Virginia
ACC (7): North Carolina, Duke, Clemson, Wake Forest, Florida State, Boston College, Maryland
Big 12 (6): Oklahoma, Kansas, Missouri, Texas, Oklahoma State, Texas A&M
Pac-10 (4): Washington, UCLA, California, Arizona State
Mountain West (3): Utah, BYU, San Diego State
SEC (3): LSU, Tennessee, Florida
Atlantic 10 (2): Xavier, Dayton
Missouri Valley (2): Northern Iowa, Creighton
Horizon (2): Cleveland State, Butler